Investment Strategies

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• High Yield: The Power of Flexibility in Volatile Times

  The journey back to normalcy will likely be punctuated with stops and starts. But opportunities will emerge—and being in a position to capture the upside is key.

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• European Real Estate: Where the Opportunities are Today

  Barings Real Estate’s Valeria Falcone describes how COVID-19 has changed the competitive dynamics across European property markets, and highlights where the team is finding and creating value today.

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• 2020 Views from the LPAC

  Over our 25+ years of investing across private markets, Barings has held hundreds of Limited Partner Advisory Committee (LPAC) seats. From this vantage point, we offer the following insights on the issues and actions currently under debate between LPs and their GPs.

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• Real Estate: The Critical Role of Asset Management in a Crisis

  Asset management is vital to long-term value creation in real estate debt and equity markets—particularly when it comes to navigating crises like COVID-19.

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• ESG: The Intent Beyond the Income

  ESG is playing an increasingly meaningful role in fixed income investing. At Barings, we formally integrate ESG across our corporate credit asset classes—but the way we apply our analysis is necessarily different due to the nuances of each market.

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• ESG in Fixed Income: Progress Over Perfection

  Fixed income investors have been slower to adopt environmental, social and governance factors, but change is afoot. Barings’ experts explain how fixed income managers can—and are—driving tangible change among corporate debt issuers—and why investors need to pay attention.

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• The EM Default Picture: More Nuanced Than Headlines Imply

  The coronavirus pandemic is creating short-term and long-term challenges for emerging markets (EMs). But not all sovereign and corporate issuers can be painted with the same broad brush, and placing too much weight on overly dire forecasts may result in missed opportunities.

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• Private Credit: The Turn of the Cycle

  Co-Heads of Global Private Finance, Ian Fowler and Adam Wheeler describe the evolving conditions in the North American and European private credit markets and where opportunities may arise in the months and years ahead.

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• Forecasting the Next Decade: Navigating Uncharted Waters

  Barings Multi Asset Group combines the underlying factors that will drive markets over the long term with today’s valuations to produce total return forecasts for major asset classes over the next ten years.

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• Four Benefits of Senior Secured Bonds in an Uncertain Environment

  Times of volatility can also yield opportunity if navigated carefully—and in the event of widespread defaults, senior secured bonds can offer some particularly compelling benefits.

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• What's Next for Private Credit?

  Now that the proverbial rubber has met the road, many investors are questioning what’s in store for private credit in the months (and years) ahead. In many ways, the current volatility is setting the stage for significant opportunities—but managing the downside is critical.

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• Global Real Estate: Cyclical & Structural Impacts of COVID-19

  As investors navigate global real estate markets in the months and years ahead, understanding the interplay between near-term cyclical weakness and long-term structural trends will be key.

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• EM Debt: Downturns, Defaults & Diamonds in the Rough

  Barings’ Omotunde Lawal and Cem Karacadag explain how COVID-19 is impacting the economies of emerging markets, and how lower oil prices and loose monetary policies may influence the future default picture.

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• EM Short-dated Debt: A Diamond in the Rough?

  COVID-19 and lower oil prices have led to indiscriminate selling across EM corporate debt, creating a potentially compelling opportunity in the shorter-dated, higher-yielding segment of the market.

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• Six Considerations for LPs Navigating Private Market Uncertainty

  When it comes to finding clarity in an environment mired in uncertainty, an open dialogue between LPs and GPs is as critical as ever.

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• Fact-finding and Fortune-telling in U.S. Real Estate

  Barings’ John Ockerbloom and Colin Gordon discuss the material consequences of COVID-19 for the real estate markets broadly as well as sector by sector—and predict how real estate portfolios may change in the years ahead.

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• Equities: Finding Long-term Growth Amid Current Volatility

  Barings’ Global Head of Equities, Dr. Ghadir Cooper, discusses the impacts of COVID-19, the opportunity for companies capitalizing on structural growth trends from technology to demographics, and the integral role of ESG in fundamental analysis.

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• ASEAN: Where Positive Demographics Meet Supportive Secular Trends

  Recent market volatility has created what we view as an attractive opportunity in ASEAN equities—particularly to tap into selective structural growth stories at compelling valuations.

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• Taking the Bite Out of High Yield’s Tail Risk

  A new buyer has arrived on the scene of U.S. high yield markets, and it happens to be the biggest buyer of them all: the U.S. Federal Reserve.

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• Investment Grade Credit Markets Make an About-Face

  As investment grade markets pivot sharply, with spreads reaching their widest level in over a decade, investors turn disproportionately toward quality and liquidity.

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• EM Debt: When Prices Decouple from Fundamentals

  Dr. Ricardo Adrogué discusses how the global pandemic has impacted emerging markets, including implications for sovereign and corporate debt markets, as well as interest rates and currencies.

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• High Yield: Finding Value in a Landscape Rife with Risk

  Concerns surrounding COVID-19, lower oil prices and a global recession have weighed heavily on markets—including global high yield bonds and leveraged loans. While value opportunities are emerging, the landscape is punctuated with risks that must be carefully navigated.

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• High Yield: Navigating COVID-19

  Barings’ Martin Horne puts the recent volatility in high yield markets into context and describes how the Barings team is both managing risks and finding value opportunities through the crisis.

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• EMD: Finding Fundamental Value Through the Storm

  The rapid spread of COVID-19, the precipitous fall in oil prices and the related shock to the global economy have sent markets—including EMD—into a tailspin in recent weeks. In this piece, we explore the resulting challenges and discuss opportunities beginning to emerge.

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• Distressed Debt: Despite Challenges, Opportunities Persist

  Recent market and economic volatility may be the trigger that distressed debt investors have been waiting for, but capitalizing on opportunities will require a different playbook than those of past cycles.

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• 2020: An Inflection Point for EM Currencies?

  With the financial crisis more than a decade behind us, the global financial system seems poised to begin re-leveraging. This process, which would likely take years to play out, would provide a source of funding for EM currencies, and represent a significant tailwind.

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• A Bright Spot in Higher-Yielding EM Corporate Debt

  Many EM regions have been engulfed in uncertainty for weeks or months. While these situations certainly represent risks, we also continue to find value—often in globally diversified companies that have been unfairly punished by markets because of where they’re domiciled.

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• Amid Rising ‘Mequity’ Risk, Boring Can Be Beautiful

  In both the U.S. and Europe, there is significant pressure both at the top and bottom ends of the middle market. As a result, we’re seeing potentially attractive value today in the more traditional, true middle market.

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• The Continued Democratization of Private Equity

  Private equity is an asset class that has traditionally been available only to very large, sophisticated institutional investors. But this is changing rapidly—a trend we expect to accelerate in 2020.

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• U.S. Real Estate: More Reward in Core?

  As investors in the market continue to chase yield, the risk premium—or the reward for taking that risk—appears to be diminishing. In this environment, we’re seeing some of the best opportunities in the highest-quality assets.

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• Comeback Time for International Equities?

  Because the U.S. equity market is broad and deep, there will almost always be opportunities—but in aggregate, we think international equity markets may be more compelling over the next year.

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• CLOs: Triple C's and Market Unease

  Taryn Leonard and Melissa Ricco, Co-Heads of Barings’ Structured Credit Investment Team, discuss the recent loan market weakness, and how technical pressures are creating value opportunities in the CLO market.

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• EM Debt: Warding Off Headwinds with Active Management

  Ricardo Adroguè, Head of Global Sovereign Debt and Currencies, addresses the many risks facing the global economy—specifically China, Argentina and the Middle East—and explains why active management is critical to performance.

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• Are High Yield Investors Being Compensated for Risks?

  In the context of today’s fundamental backdrop and default outlook, spread levels suggest investors are being fairly compensated, relative to other points in the cycle, for the amount of risk they are taking.

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