The Barings Investment Institute conducts proprietary research to help our teams make the most of the firm’s unique expertise in public and private markets around the world, while exploring the forces that shape long-term investment and capital decisions.
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When markets and data look this contradictory, it may be easier to start by counting on your fingers.
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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Value or Values?
As investors increasingly seek strategies that both deliver returns and advance core values, asset managers have been testing different approaches.
White Paper - 20 min read
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Summer Boom Meets COVID Concerns
Technical factors, perceived Fed hawkishness, the Delta variant, and U.S. infrastructure talks led to a volatile week in markets, which should remain near-term amid COVID concerns and until monetary policy clears up in fall. Solid economic data supports our strong-growth outlook.
The Week Ahead - 3 min read
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Gravity's Pull Isn't Strong Enough Yet
While fears of a COVID resurgence impacting activity and premature monetary policy tightening are weighing on markets' outlook, momentum in the economic recovery is set to keep growth from succumbing to the pull of gravity.
Kaleidoscope - 3 min read
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Gravity Will Not Prevail–At Least Not Yet
In advanced economies, storefronts have opened, effective vaccines are rolling out, and people are ready to return to "life as we knew it." However, normalcy will not return until the pandemic is over globally—unless borders remain closed, with unknown collateral damage.
Monthly Macro Dashboard - 10 min read
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Transitory is the Name of the Game
Muted reaction to a high U.S. CPI reading confirmed markets believe the Fed is heading to a policy mistake following recent upward shift in median dots. In the U.S., we watch the release of flash PMIs, while the ECB should adjust policy strategy. In Asia, Japan CPI remains benign.
The Week Ahead - 3 min read
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Hoping for Higher Taxes
There’s a long path ahead, but the new global tax framework should actually support the growth that markets seem to be calling into doubt.
Leading Thoughts - 3 min read
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
No Stopping China’s Restocking
FIFO gives China the global distribution edge across export sectors, even those that fell.
Research Note - 3 min read
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
China Reaches Cruising Altitude
Chinese growth has been bumpy this year but we remain upbeat on the outlook. In the U.S., excess savings, pent-up demand, and the labor market recovery should support consumer spending. In Europe, the likely boost to inflation data from base effects should be temporary.
The Week Ahead - 3 min read
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
What Will Kill This Market?
Something will at some point, but the most plausible downside scenarios still look like a stretch for this year and next.
Leading Thoughts - 3 min read
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Europe Readies to Open its Wallet
The EU recovery fund's spending plans were approved. Meanwhile, Markit PMIs were robust, particularly in the U.S. and Europe. U.S. housing data eased while demand remains strong. In Asia, exports are set to normalize, and we expect external demand to maintain its strength.
The Week Ahead - 3 min readWe use cookies on our website to provide you with the best experience. By proceeding to our site you agree to our Cookies Notice and our site Terms and Conditions.