The Barings Investment Institute conducts proprietary research to help our teams make the most of the firm’s unique expertise in public and private markets around the world, while exploring the forces that shape long-term investment and capital decisions.
Brace Yourself for the Pivot from COVID to Climate
The pandemic forced governments to plow resources into consumption, but climate challenges will require lots (and lots) of investment.
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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
ESG in Tech: Innovation Isn't Enough
The acceleration of growth in the digital economy through the pandemic has brought a renewed urgency to the debates surrounding technology companies and their impact on the environment and society. Investors should be concerned.
White Paper - 20 min read
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
The Recovery Can Still Rely on Europe's Support
While uncertainties around COVID are maintaining the risk-off sentiment, the U.S. 10-year yield jumped after the U.S. retail sales print. In China, concerns about an Evergrande collapse weighed heavily, while in Japan optimism about further fiscal spending boosted equities.
The Week Ahead - 3 min read
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Global Recovery: Delayed Not Derailed
More than most Septembers, spring seems like a long time ago. Beyond nature’s promise of new growth, investors basked in a world on its way to reopening. Since then, spiking contagion, lingering bottlenecks, and a Chinese slowdown have raised fears of a gloomy winter ahead.
Monthly Macro Dashboard - 10 min read
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Will Rates Ever Rise Again?
As investors digest the latest flow of very messy economic data, the key question they are trying to answer is “what will be a sustainable level of growth and inflation after the effects of the pandemic have subsided?”
Research Note - 3 min read
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Recovery on Track in Spite of Delta
Ahead of the FOMC's Jackson Hole symposium, markets appeared to position for a dovish conclusion as yields and energy/industrial commodities rose, the dollar weakened, and cyclical equities outperformed. Though high-frequency data suggests activity is easing, demand remains strong.
The Week Ahead - 3 min read
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Globalization is Still Strong, but Changing
Global integration has clearly not stopped, but it is changing. Even with the pandemic’s disruption of global supply chains and rising U.S.-China tensions, investors should continue to count on a world that seems to be further integrating, rather than falling apart.
Research Note - 3 min read
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Inflation, Infrastructure & Injections: Markets Go Back to School
Christopher Smart updates us on the macro risks facing markets in the back half of the year—from the Delta variant and inflation concerns, to the U.S. infrastructure package and shifting political world order.
Podcast - 34 min listen
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Will Taper Talk Fill Jackson Hole?
Despite a major U.S. foreign policy setback in Afghanistan, the dollar continued to outperform following the release of FOMC meeting minutes, suggesting an earlier start to tapering than expected. Eyes will be on Jackson Hole next week for further hints of a tapering timeline.
The Week Ahead - 3 min read
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Inflation Starts Trending Down (Slowly)
After weeks of markets pricing in our slower-growth scenario, the strong U.S. employment report kicked off a slight shift in the narrative. Meanwhile, cooling in U.S. CPI supports the transitory narrative. In Asia, eyes are on activity data amid the latest outbreak.
The Week Ahead - 3 min read
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