The Barings Investment Institute conducts proprietary research to help our teams make the most of the firm’s unique expertise in public and private markets around the world, while exploring the forces that shape long-term investment and capital decisions.

Macroeconomic & Geopolitical

Who Will Balance the Budgets?

It’s not today’s problem, but it’s a question investors will start asking more often as the Republican Party confronts its identity crisis.

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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical

Value or Values?

As investors increasingly seek strategies that both deliver returns and advance core values, asset managers have been testing different approaches.

White Paper - 20 min read

Macroeconomic & Geopolitical

Can Draghi’s Europe Catch up With Biden’s America?

A rise in U.S. retail sales showed that fiscal stimulus is working and keeping shoppers in the driver’s seat. In Europe, smaller fiscal support and tighter restrictions have weighed on consumer spending but investment and export growth point to a stronger second half of 2021.

The Week Ahead - 3 min read

Macroeconomic & Geopolitical

Mario Draghi: Deus Ex Machina or Knight of the Apocalypse?

The Future of Italy and Implications for Europe.

Kaleidoscope - 5 min read

Macroeconomic & Geopolitical

How Will Europe Tackle the Biggest Question of the Year?

Besides the rollout of vaccines that will save us from life inside four walls, we will know how governments want to handle the bill of the pandemic.

Kaleidoscope - 2 min read

Macroeconomic & Geopolitical

What Robinhood and Bitcoin Reveal About the Future of Technology

The efforts of the disenfranchised to adopt new technologies that democratize access may look chaotic, but they represent an important driver for still further innovation.

Research Note - 5 min read

Macroeconomic & Geopolitical

Lots of Stimulus, Not Much Inflation

Weak U.S. jobs data fuels debate for further fiscal stimulus but some worry inflation may overshoot the Fed’s target this year. In China, the PBOC is tapering monetary stimulus. In Europe, the Q4 contraction was less severe than initially thought, but the recovery looks delayed.

The Week Ahead - 3 min read

Macroeconomic & Geopolitical

Seven Crucial Questions This Earnings Season Can Answer

As investors strain to imagine the post-pandemic normal, a blurry vision is already coming into view.

Leading Thoughts - 3 min read

Macroeconomic & Geopolitical

EU Outlook Brighter, but Watch the News in Rome

Expect answers next week on whether Italy can form a new government. Elsewhere, U.S. earnings are on track to show Q4 growth, illustrating that the recovery remained intact, and risks to China’s outlook have emerged with the resurgence in COVID cases.

The Week Ahead - 3 min read

Macroeconomic & Geopolitical

Is the Tunnel Getting Longer?

In a race between vaccine research and virus mutations, logistical challenges are setting up hurdles that are lengthening the distance to the end of the tunnel. Markets have priced in a strong recovery though there are near-term concerns in the real economy.

Monthly Macro Dashboard - 3 min read

Macroeconomic & Geopolitical

Groundhog or Canary?

The recent market gyrations look more like an entertaining sideshow, but it’s worth asking when they might be a signal of something worse.

Leading Thoughts - 3 min read

Macroeconomic & Geopolitical

U.S. Consumers: Don’t Worry, They’re Here to Stay

Worsening U.S. consumer confidence data shows the labor market is expected to remain fragile, though spending should improve due to greater fiscal support. Eurozone inflation will likely accelerate slightly, and strong trade data from Asia shows global demand's resiliency.

The Week Ahead - 3 min read

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