

The Barings Investment Institute conducts proprietary research to help our teams make the most of the firm’s unique expertise in public and private markets around the world, while exploring the forces that shape long-term investment and capital decisions.

The Ten Most Important Statistics for 2023 Markets
In the flood of market data, you could do worse than keeping your eye on these as you assess the odds of a ‘softish landing’.

More Complicated From Here
If you thought this year was difficult, just wait. The good news is that the extreme outcomes investors worried about through most of 2022 look less likely for 2023.

Why It’s About to Get Even More Complicated From Here
This year’s choices were hardly simple, but economic policymakers in China, Europe and the United States face much trickier decisions in 2023.

What Jerome Powell Really Wants for Christmas
Jerome Powell surely has a holiday wish list, especially facing a new year of slower growth, rising prices and inverted yield curves.

Europe's Political Strength Will Buffer the Coming Downturn
The recession will be painful, but the “old continent” is proving surprisingly adept at facing new challenges

One Small Step for CPI, One Giant Leap for Markets
A downside surprise in U.S. CPI led to a market rally amid hopes of a Fed pivot. Meanwhile, U.S. midterm elections suggest a divided Congress is ahead. Elsewhere, eyes will be on the U.K. Fiscal Statement next week.

The Food Price Conundrum: Can Markets Make a Difference?
While the COVID-19 pandemic disrupted global food markets, the Russian invasion of Ukraine has delivered a much bigger shock that has since been aggravated by drought and food export restrictions. However, some relief is possible if market forces are allowed to work again.

After a Terrible Year for Markets, What's Not Priced In?
It’s more or less clear where investors think the world is headed, but they are surely missing something.

How Long Will 75bps Stay in Vogue?
After an initial dovish reading of the FOMC statement, Jay Powell’s tone was firmly hawkish and led to a reversal in risk sentiment and a higher market-implied terminal rate. While the BoE also hiked 75bps, the bank signaled a lower endpoint. All eyes are on inflation data next week.